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(2010-07-15)Analysis on Development of China LED Indoor Lighting Market
Affected by multiple factors and fast development, it’s hard for people to predict the domestic LED indoor lighting market share. Many believe the market share would reach 10% in 2012, 30% in 2015, and 50% in 2020. However, the survey with LED lighting popularization schedule shows, many people hold a relative optimistic attitude. Officials from Osram consider the market share of LED indoor lighting might reach 80% in 2020, the huge design space for LED will also bring along the development of correlative market except the enlarging lighting market scale, and the integral market scale is enormous.
Generally, the development of LED bulb market could be divided into three phases. Fluorescent lamp, incandescent lamp and energy-saving lamp are main light source of bulb for indoor lighting before 2012, when LED cost comparably higher, only could be the retrofit of incandescent lamps for demonstration. During 2012-2014, incandescent lamps would gradually disappear from the market along with the phasing-out policy. Energy-saving light market is predicted to grow rapidly and take up an important share. However LED lamp would replace incandescent and fluorescent lamp substantially till 2014. Meanwhile its cost and price decreases constantly due to the increasing manufacturer, which could much possibly cause a boom in LED market for one or two years ahead of time.